Elks vs. Tiger-Cats picks and odds: Back Hamilton to cover the spread on Canada Day


The Edmonton Elks and Hamilton Tiger-Cats both search for their first win of the season at Tim Hortons Field on Friday.

The pregame narrative: This matchup showcases the unpredictability of sports. The Elks went 3-11 last season while the Ti-Cats were ever so close to winning the Gray Cup — both sit in the same spot through three weeks of CFL action.

Check out our best Elks vs. Tiger-Cats picks for July 1 on Canada Day.

Elks vs. Tiger-Cats picks overview

  • Tiger-Cats -7 (-114)
  • Over 4.5 touchdowns (-112)
  • Tiger-Cats to win both halves (+163)

Elks vs. Tiger-Cats picks

Best bet: Tiger-Cats -7 (-114)

We fully expect the Ti-Cats and Dane Evans to bounce back and cover a 7-point spread at home.

Evans has been an enigma for the Ti-Cats under centre. He leads the league in passing yards (884), but also has thrown six interceptions to four touchdowns. The 28-year-old’s 65.3% completion rate is a middle-of-the-pack number and he hasn’t shown much game-to-game improvement.

That being said, if there was a team for Evans to get off the schneid against it would be the Elks.

Edmonton’s -61 point differential is the worst in the CFL through three weeks. The Elks are the only team to have given up over 100 points total, and their 115 points against are 26 higher than the next closest team (Hamilton).

Edmonton’s secondary has allowed an abysmal 80.7% completion rate (67-for-83) with five touchdowns against — both are the worst marks in the league.

The Elks’ rush defense has somehow been even worse. They’ve given up 162.3 yards on the ground per game, and eight rushing TDs.

Hamilton may be 0-3, but they lost road games against tough opponents while taking the Calgary Stampeders to overtime at home.

The last time these two teams played, the Ti-Cats rolled to a 39-23 victory in Edmonton. It’s worth noting Jeremiah Masoli was starting that game, but we still feel confident in Orlondo Steinauer’s squad to get the job done.

Key stat: Hamilton has covered a 7-point spread in four of its last five home games (regular season and playoffs).

Read more: Odds to win the Gray Cup

Quick picks

Over 4.5 touchdowns (-112): We’ve already badmouthed Edmonton’s defence thoroughly so we’ll leave you with just one number — 13. That’s the number of touchdowns the Elks have given up through three games.

Hamilton’s defense has been a far better side, with just five touchdowns allowed in three games. That said, 4.5 seems far too low a number when the top two teams in points against are playing each other.

Tiger-Cats to win both halves (+163): We think the Ti-Cats will come out of the gates firing and not let up for the full 60-minutes. Steinauer’s squad knows the importance of this game, and understands falling to 0-4 is not an option.

Edmonton’s opponents have won five-of-six halves this season, and we expect Hamilton to continue that trend.

Odds as of 2:52 pm ET on 06/29/2022.

AP

Avery Perri writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @AveryPerri

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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